Source Code

The Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium (BCSC) risk model program can be used to estimate a woman's five- and ten-year risk of developing invasive breast cancer. Refer to the BCSC Risk Calculator Introduction and the reference below for more detail.


Tice, Miglioretti, Li, Vachon, Gard, Kerlikowske, Breast density and benign breast disease: Risk assessment to identify women at high risk of breast cancer, J Clin Oncol (In press)
Tice, Cummings, Smith-Bindman, Ichikawa, Barlow, Kerlikowske, Using Clinical Factors and Mammographic Breast Density to Estimate Breast Cancer Risk: Development and Validation of a New Predictive Model, Ann Intern Med, 2008

Important note:

The BCSC risk model code is intended to estimate risk for populations of women or to perform population-level analyses. If the intended use of the software is to calculate individual risk for a woman, “unknown” should not be allowed as a response for the question “Has the woman had prior breast biopsies?”. Source code used for the BCSC risk calculator that does not allow for an unknown response to prior breast biopsies can be obtained by emailing

Software Download:

The current software is version 2.0 and contains five SAS program files:

(1), bxresult_fmt.sas7bdat, density_fmt.sas7bdat, famhx_fmt.sas7bdat - source code to estimate 5- and 10-year risk of invasive breast cancer based on the BCSC risk model.

(2) - sample program that creates an input dataset, runs the BCSC risk model program, creates an output dataset with risk scores, and produces summary statistics.

Click here to download source code for BCSC risk model


For questions, contact the Statistical Coordinating Center for the BCSC at

Please cite the following source when using this program:
NCI-funded Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium (P01 CA154292 and HHSN261201100031C). Downloaded mm/dd/yyyy from the Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium Web site -

The SCC, BCSC, and NCI are not responsible for the completeness or accuracy of the data used by the risk program to calculate breast cancer risk scores. The BCSC Risk Calculator may be updated as new data or research becomes available.